Gavrilets, S. and Scheiner S. 1993. ``The genetics of phenotypic plasticity. VI. Theoretical predictions for directional selection.'' Journal of Evolutionary Biology 6: 49-68.
ABSTRACT
We explore the effects of linear and quadratic reaction norms on
heritability and directional selection. Genetic variation for reaction
norm parameters can alter the heritability of traits; the magnitude of
the heritability depends upon both the environment and the correlation
among the parameters. Genetic variation for reaction norm parameters
can alter the response to directional selection. Selection on a trait
in one environment can shift both the mean of the trait measured across
environments and the plasticity of the trait; the signs and magnitudes
of these responses depend on the correlations among the parameters of
the reaction norm. Our model is consistent with the results of ten
experiments for selection on a trait in a single environment. In all
experiments, selection towards the overall mean of the population always
resulted in a relatively lower plasticity than selection away from the
overall mean. Our model was able to predict the results of two
experiments for selection on a trait index calculated over more than one
environment. Predictions were good for the direct response to selection
but poorer for the correlated response to selection. Our results
indicate the need for more data on the effects of environment on genetic
parameters, especially correlations among reaction norm parameters.