Gavrilets, S., and Hastings, A. 1995. ``Intermittency and
transient chaos from simple frequency-dependent selection.'' Proc. Roy.
Soc. London (Series B) 261: 233-238.
ABSTRACT
Frequency-dependent selection is an important determinant of the
evolution of gametophytic self-incompatibility systems in plants,
aposematic (warning) and cryptic coloration, systems of mimicry,
competitive interactions among members of a population, mating
preferences, predator-prey and host-parasite interactions, aggression
and other behavioral traits. Previous theoretical studies of
frequency-dependent selection have shown it to be a plausible mechanism
for maintenance of genetic variability in natural populations. Here,
through an analysis of a simple deterministic model for
frequency-dependent selection, we demonstrate that complex dynamic
behavior is possible under a broad range of parameter values. In
particular, we show that the model exhibits not only cycles and chaos,
but also, for a more restricted set of parameters, transient chaos and
intermittency - alterations between an apparently deterministic
behavior and apparently chaotic fluctuations. This behavior, which has
not been stressed within the population genetics literature, provides
an explanation for erratic dynamics of gene frequencies.